Strategic Foresight - The Power of Standing in the Future

Mental Models - The Way We Look at Things

Mental Model 1 is how we see the world around us today and tends to have a strong historical and “now” component. This type of model is used as the basis for making forecast projections - but is inherently flawed because it is always based upon dated information.

Mental Model 2 is a picture of how we see the world in 5 - 10 years time. This model is not conceived by crystal-ball gazing. Mental Model 2 is constructed upon the basis of some serious research into trends, technological developments, demographic change patterns and expert opinion. Scenarios are developed as a result of this research and create a future view from which a position today can be backcast. The backcast pathway forms the basis for forward strategic planning - i.e. strategic foresight based planning.